Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.015538 0.018081 0.020890 0.024220 0.028059 0.032342 0.037481
2025-12-21 0.011560 0.014793 0.018695 0.023742 0.030088 0.037792 0.047847
2025-12-28 0.009591 0.013316 0.018166 0.024921 0.034062 0.045976 0.062653
2026-01-04 0.007984 0.011913 0.017383 0.025511 0.037239 0.053491 0.077662
2026-01-11 0.006430 0.010243 0.015883 0.024769 0.038346 0.058221 0.089415
2026-01-18 0.005375 0.009086 0.014881 0.024507 0.039992 0.063797 0.102988
2026-01-25 0.004472 0.007988 0.013765 0.023836 0.040823 0.068131 0.115097
2026-02-01 0.003792 0.007128 0.012874 0.023352 0.041813 0.072736 0.128087
2026-02-08 0.003274 0.006458 0.012187 0.023080 0.043062 0.077833 0.142409
2026-02-15 0.002801 0.005785 0.011382 0.022458 0.043571 0.081655 0.154889
2026-02-22 0.002591 0.005580 0.011404 0.023353 0.046935 0.090870 0.178044
2026-03-01 0.002307 0.005176 0.010980 0.023318 0.048505 0.096937 0.196000
2026-03-08 0.001978 0.004631 0.010210 0.022508 0.048506 0.100140 0.209092
2026-03-15 0.001748 0.004263 0.009751 0.022276 0.049642 0.105690 0.227488
2026-03-22 0.001663 0.004210 0.009958 0.023498 0.053985 0.118182 0.261450
2026-03-29 0.001540 0.004048 0.009897 0.024114 0.057091 0.128458 0.291950
2026-04-05 0.001348 0.003680 0.009309 0.023440 0.057224 0.132408 0.309297
2026-04-12 0.001207 0.003418 0.008933 0.023206 0.058330 0.138593 0.332252
2026-04-19 0.001063 0.003121 0.008425 0.022577 0.058410 0.142465 0.350386
2026-04-26 0.000945 0.002876 0.008012 0.022121 0.058846 0.147189 0.371006
2026-05-03 0.000851 0.002680 0.007694 0.021864 0.059736 0.153068 0.394997
2026-05-10 0.000754 0.002458 0.007274 0.021274 0.059695 0.156678 0.413858
2026-05-17 0.000722 0.002426 0.007375 0.022125 0.063553 0.170362 0.459309